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Treasury

Daily Market Patrol

Market Patrol 29 October 2021

There is a huge difference between a good trade and good trading.

Steve Burns
Indicative Selling Rates
against MUR
USD
30 Dec 2024
  • AUD
  • 30.06
  • 0.6338
  • BWP
  • 3.48
  • 0.0734
  • CAD
  • 33.22
  • 1.4276
  • CNY
  • 6.70
  • 7.0810
  • DKK
  • 6.73
  • 7.0475
  • EUR
  • 49.70
  • 1.0479
  • HKD
  • 6.20
  • 7.6503
  • INR
  • 0.56
  • 84.1374
  • JPY
  • 30.86
  • 153.6994
  • KES
  • 37.27
  • 127.2693
  • NZD
  • 27.08
  • 0.5709
  • NOK
  • 4.27
  • 11.1133
  • SGD
  • 35.51
  • 1.3358
  • ZAR
  • 2.63
  • 18.0027
  • SEK
  • 4.37
  • 10.8432
  • CHF
  • 52.92
  • 1.1158
  • GBP
  • 59.97
  • 1.2643
  • USD
  • 47.43
  • 1.0000
  • AED
  • 13.21
  • 3.5895
The euro blasted above the clouds after ECB policy decision.
Fundamental News

EUR/USD
The Shared currency rocketed to $1.1670 after European Central Bank's governor Christine Lagarde on Thursday admitted that inflationary forces in the eurozone will run hot for longer than expected, mainly due to the inability of supply to match the increasing demand. The ECB, as expected, kept its monetary policy unchanged yesterday.

 

GBP/USD
The Cable surged to $1.3791 as UK Chancellor Rishi Sunak's multi-billion pound 2021 budget and the hawkish Bank of England seem to support the move in the currency; attentions now shift to the monetary policy statement due for next week.

 

USD/JPY
The Japanese yen muted at 113.64 against the U.S dollar after the contraction of pool Japanese data figures released earlier in the day.

 

AUD/USD
The Aussie dollar pair raced higher to $0.7552 after today's Australian retail sales grew better-than-expected in the Asia session.

 

USD/CAD
The Canadian dollar muscled its way to 1.2353 against the greenback buoyed by the hawkish monetary statement by the Bank of Canada on Wednesday and weaker U.S GDP data yesterday.

 

USD/ZAR
The South African rand extended its losses to 15.14 per U.S dollar as continued power cuts weighed on market sentiment, while traders also turned cautious ahead of local elections and a medium-term budget statement next week.

 

USD/MUR
The dollar-rupee stayed put at 43.05(selling) on the local market.

Fundamental & Technical Data
Economic Indicators-Local Time

13:00 - EUR - CPI (YoY) (Oct)

16:30 - CAD - GDP (MoM) (Aug)

 

Central Bank Interest Rates
Last Change
New Meeting
Federal Bank of U.S
0.00 -0.25%
16-Mar-2020
03-Nov-2021
European Central Bank
0.00%
10-Mar-2016
28-Oct-2021
Bank of England
0.10%
19-May-2020
04-Nov-2021
Bank of Japan
-0.10%
28-Jan-2016
28-Oct-2021
Reserve Bank of Australia
0.10%
03-Nov-2020
02-Nov-2021
S.Africa Reserve Bank
3.50%
23-Jul-2020
-
Reserve Bank of India
4.00%
22-May-2020
08-Oct-2021
Bank of Mauritius
1.85%
16-Apr-2020
-
Looking for Markets correlation?
Market Correlation is a measure, statistical or observational, that gives a positive or negative link between the pricing of multiple currencies.

Bulls & Bears Levels
Resistance and Support
Levels
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
USD/ZAR
R3
1.1834
1.3926
114.47
15.39
R2
1.1763
1.3870
114.17
15.26
R1
1.1724
1.3834
113.86
15.13
PP
1.1653
1.3778
113.56
14.88
S1
1.1614
1.3742
113.25
14.83
S2
1.1543
13686
112.95
14.67
S3
1.1504
1.3650
112.64
14.42
Technical Analysis - Forex Charts
The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near one year high
Chart updated on 30.09.2021

The dollar Index extends its intense rebound near the 94.00 threshold, clinching a new high for this year 2021 amid an earlier rate hike expectation and announcement of a nearing tapering asset purchase which clearly impacted the yield curves.

 

A tightening of monetary policy by the European Central Bank remains far in the future but ECB remains vigilant on its inflation figures yet to be released this Friday. This could give additional upward momentum on the USD in the near term and exerts additional selling pressure on the euro and the pound.

 

On the technical side, after a breach and close above the 100% retracement A-B-C (93.72 level) ,the greenback could easily approach the 113% level at 94.38 followed by 127% level – 94.98 level in the near term. Resistance at 96.47 (161.8%) remains key level to watch

GBPUSD riding wave C after completion of triangular retracement of wave B
Chart posted on 30.09.2021

1.3750 marked the completion of ‘wave e’ of the triangular retracement (wave B) of corrective move A-B-C  for GBPUSD and abruptly, we saw fresh sellers entering the market below the 1.3600 levels yesterday.

 

As per Elliott wave principle, GBPUSD is battling around 1.3515 levels and higher inflation, Brexit and Petroleum concerns could exert further pressure on the pound towards 1.32 levels towards completion of wave C.

 

A breach and close above 1.3750 nullify this downward pattern.

Weekly Market Update by Reshma Peerun Rajwani
Speak to our team
  • Allan Juste
    Head - Forex And Derivatives
    +230 5251 4855
  • Reshma Peerun Rajwani
    Head – Treasury Sales
    +230 403 5500
Disclaimer
Please note that the information published is purely indicative. It is based on technical data from sources which the Bank verily believes to be authentic, though its timeliness or accuracy cannot be warranted or guaranteed. AfrAsia Bank Ltd issues no invitation to anyone to rely on this bulletin and neither we nor our information providers shall be in no way whatsoever, liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or the lack of timeliness, or for any delay or interruption in the transmission thereof to the user. The indicative rates and other market information are subject to changes at the Bank's discretion. Whilst every effort is made to ensure the information is accurate, you should confirm the latest situation with the Bank prior to making any decisions.